Safety Rules
….over everything.
The Globe and Mail published an editorial on January 9 titled ‘How cities can protect crowds against the threat of vehicle-ramming attacks’
Notice those three words ‘the threat of’. They are not providing advice for protecting crowds against such attacks, rather from the threat of them. What do you suppose that means? I think it means that few journalists know how to write with any kind of precision, a sad state of affairs, but somewhat tangential to my main point.
The editorial opens with a brief ‘oh my god it was unimaginable’ re-telling of what happened on Bourbon Street in New Orleans on Jan 1. Then they write this –
“At the same time, it was not unimaginable at all. It was horribly predictable. Attackers using vehicles have targeted a Bastille Day celebration in France, a bike and pedestrian path in New York, a busy sidewalk in North Toronto and a Christmas market in Germany.”
Thus, we have a list of four previous incidents of vehicles being driven into crowds killing people. Hyperlinks are provided so you can go read about them, and if you do, you will find that they happened, corresponding to the order given above, in Nice, France on July 14, 2016, New York, NY on October 31, 2017, Toronto, April 23, 2018 and Magdeburg, Germany, on Dec 20, 2024.
Four instances of vehicles being driven into crowds across the whole world over a period of eight years are cited as the basis for saying that the incident in New Orleans was ‘horribly predictable’.
Let’s think about this a bit more. In how many cities across the world do you suppose there were significant gatherings of people on – just to pick a random single day – Dec 31, 2024?
Tens of thousands of cities would be a conservative guess, no? More likely hundreds of thousands.
And, how many of those gatherings resulted in a vehicle being driven into the assembled crowds? Assuming that had that happened, 21st century media could not possibly have failed to publicize it, the answer is – zero.
But the one that happened in New Orleans the next day, that was horribly predictable.
The lesson from the Globe Editors’ deep statistical analysis is clear. It is predictable that crowds in cities everywhere are going to face crazed vehicular murderers constantly from now on, so steps must be taken.
Yes, the august G&M editors are not just great statisticians, they are intrepid urban engineers, and they know what must be done to prevent the inevitable looming carnage.
Their recommendations are preceded by this:
“Whether it’s commuters pouring out of a subway station or people lingering at a popular busker spot, crowds are the essence of city life. People living their lives in public is part of what makes cities vibrant and desirable.”
This brief paean to vibrant city life doesn’t end up carrying much weight.
To quote again:
“The risk is heightened by the super-sizing of SUVs into vehicles that strike with more force. The weapon used in New Orleans, an F-150 pickup truck, is the most popular vehicle in the United States. It has evolved to have a high hood that is more likely to kill pedestrians by hitting them in the chest. It may be time for a conversation about regulations forcing design changes to make vehicles less dangerous. But any such changes would take years to make a meaningful difference on the road. Solutions are needed now.”
What must be done while we wait for the evil automotive manufacturers to get their acts together? Well, it’s clear to the editors.
“Luckily, one is clear: barriers that separate people from vehicles. These can take the form of permanent installations around areas that consistently have lots of pedestrians. In occasionally busy spots, say, outside a concert venue or a New Year’s gathering, large vehicles can be positioned to block malign actors. Think transit buses or garbage trucks.”
I can think of few things that would add more to the vibrancy of city life than a ring of parked garbage trucks outside every concert venue before and after each performance.
The editors hasten to add that what will simply not do is ‘security theatre’. They note –
“An illusion of safety was present in New Orleans in the form of a police vehicle placed across Bourbon Street to protect people on New Year’s Eve.”
And then –
“Post-9/11 rules requiring airlines to lock and reinforce the cockpit door, making it impossible for hijackers to take the controls, demonstrate that simple security fixes can save lives.”
A couple of comments here. One, I was in Nashville some years back and they did the same thing in that city every Saturday night (perhaps Friday, too, I’m not sure). They parked fire vehicles across the main street. This was not to provide an ‘illusion of safety’ but to make it clear to law-abiding drivers that the street was closed to vehicular traffic, thereby preventing what is sometime called ‘an accident’. That was undoubtedly the point of the police vehicle in NOLA on New Year’s Day.
Two, the accurate terminology in the second quote would be ‘more difficult’ rather than ‘impossible’, but in any case, what is this evidence that locking and reinforcing cockpit doors has saved lives? If there has been news of hijacking attempts foiled by this device, I admit that I’ve missed it.
To be fair to the editors, this is 21st century thinking, although it is thinking that I think is very much propagated by 21st century journalism. When any bad thing happens, it is abundantly clear to activists, advocates, journalists and the Twitterverse (is that still a thing? TikTokverse?) that no cost is too great to pay to do everything one can think of to prevent that one bad thing from happening again. This is the thinking that has billions of people removing their shoes and belts before getting on an airplane. It is the thinking that gives rise to ‘calling out’ politicians for complacency every time a pedestrian is hit by a car, or the calls for new fire codes after every fatal fire.
Nothing bad must ever happen. When it does (and dammit, it always does) , blame must be assessed and spending billions to prevent that particular bad thing from ever happening again is always worth it.
As the editors say in their final line –
“Soft targets need a hard shell around them.”
Indeed. So, as soft as human beings are, clearly we need to require body armour (think RoboCop) as mandatory apparel for all civilians walking in areas where crowds tend to gather. This will also protect them against those constantly rampaging across our cities with AK-47s or machetes in hand. Bonus, right? Permanent concrete bollards are useless against bullets and blades, after all.
It’s true that ‘…any such changes would take years to make a meaningful difference…’ as body armour production can’t be ramped up on a moment’s notice, but I assert with complete confidence that it will take less time than re-designing trucks so that they can carry heavy loads but are of no danger to pedestrians.